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[SUMMARY] Situational Assessment 2017: Trump Edition - ] by Jordan Greenhall @medium.com - Greenhall outlines his opinion on the underlying causes of the 2016 Trump election victory, forecasts Trump's strategy going forward.
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<h1 style="text-align: center;">[SUMMARY] Situational Assessment 2017: Trump Edition</h1> <h2>[WHAT]</h2> <ol> <li>[SUMMARY] Situational Assessment 2017: Trump Edition - ] by Jordan Greenhall @medium.com - Greenhall outlines his opinion on the underlying causes of teh 2016 Trump election victory. </li> <li>] 19 minute read</li> </ol> <h2>[WHY]</h2> <ol> <li>] </li> </ol> <h2>[WHERE]</h2> <ol> <li><strong>] READ THE FULL ARTICLE</strong></li> <ol> <li>] <a href="https://medium.com/deep-code/situational-assessment-2017-trump-edition-d189d24fc046#.top2fycno" target="_blank">https://medium.com/deep-code/situational-assessment-2017-trump-edition-d189d24fc046#.top2fycno</a></li> </ol></ol> <h2>[WHEN]</h2> <ol> <li>] 2017-01-25</li> </ol> <h2>[EXAMPLE] </h2> <div><strong>Front 1: communications infrastructure</strong></div> <p>In other words, while 2016 still formally looked like politics, what is really going on here is a revolutionary war. For now this is war using memes rather than bullets, but war is much more than a metaphor.</p> <p>This war is about much more than ideology, money or power. Even the participants likely do not fully understand the stakes. At a deep level, we are right in the middle of an existential conflict between two entirely different and incompatible ways of forming “collective intelligence”. </p> <p>will walk through a series of “fronts” of the war that I see playing out over the next several years. This is a pretty tactical assessment and should make sense and be useful to anyone. I’ll get to the deep point last?—?and will be going way out there in an effort to grasp “what is really going on”.</p> <p>All modern warfighters know that the first step of any conflict is to disrupt the enemy’s communications and control infrastructure.Our legacy sensemaking system was largely composed of and dominated by a small set of communications channels Until very recently, effectively all sensemaking was mediated by these channels and, as a consequence, these channels delivered a highly effective mechanism for coordinated messaging and control.A sizable fraction of the power, influence and effectiveness of the last-stage power elites (e.g., the neocon alliances in both the Democratic and Republican parties) was due to their mastery at utilizing these legacy channels. </p> <p>It is important for anyone planning in the contemporary environment to recognize that the activities of the Trump Insurgency are entirely different to all previous actors. Rather than endeavoring to establish control over the legacy infrastructure, the Trump Insurgency is in the process of destroying it entirely and replacing it with a very different architecture. One that is intrinsically compatible with its own form of collective intelligence. </p> <p>They are <strong>simultaneously attacking the legacy power structures on multiple fronts</strong> (access, business viability and, in particular, legitimacy) <strong>while innovating entirely novel approaches to the problem of large scale communications and control</strong> (e.g., direct tweets from POTUS). Their intent is not to play with or even dominate the legacy media?—?but to eliminate them from the field entirely and to replace them with something else altogether.</p> <p>This approach is strategically optimal. The Trump Insurgency represents a novel model of collective intelligence in general. It is the first truly viable approach that is connected directly with the emergent decentralized attractor that has been driving technical/economic disruption for the last several decades. </p> <p>I expect the memetic efficacy of the New York Times, CNN, the Washington Post, MSNBC and related channels to be near zero within the next two to four years. I would not be surprised to see several of these entities actually out of business. </p> <p>Note, the relative position of “new media” such as Twitter, Facebook and YouTube is harder to predict. I suspect that most of the important conflict of this front will take place here. Right now, all of new media is controlled by forces broadly opposed to the Insurgency. Yet the Insurgency must establish dominance on this territory. They can accomplish this either by capturing these existing platforms (aka “bend the knee” capitulation) or by moving the center of power to new platforms that are aligned with the Insurgency (e.g., gab.ai replacing Twitter). If you think that this latter is highly unlikely, I strongly urge you to reexamine your models and assumptions.</p> <p><strong>Front 2: the deep state</strong></p> <div><strong><br /></strong></div> <h2>[HOW-TO]</h2> <ol> <li>]</li> </ol> <h2>[REFERENCE]</h2> <ol> <li>x] SRC = best-of-HN-2017-01-28, article time-to-take-a-stand, comments, comment</li> </ol> <h2>[RELATED]</h2> <div><ol> <li>] <a href="/view/article?id=5574" target="_blank">Trial balloon for a coup</a> - ] by Yonatan Zunger @ medium.com - Zunger outlines his theory on how the leadership of the current US government has initiated a coup against the country and lays out some of the possbile motives behind it. </li> </ol></div> <h1 style="text-align: center;"> </h1>