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SUMMARY - What is going to happen in 2015

[WHAT]

  1. ] Fred Wilson predicts the year ahead in the technology industry. Fred is a partner at Union Square Ventures, a NYC based Venture Capital firm. Here is a quick summary list of what those predictions are ...
    1. *] NOTE - that I have tagged each of the predictions with the startup sector, that the predcition falls into ( Example Mobile, Messaging, Payments, ...) This will make it easier to group multiple predictions later

[WHY]

  1. ] We (sospep) are going to build a compiled list of predictions for 2015 from some of the industry leaders in the Venture Capital market.
    1. ] We (can/may) then use that list for guidance/direction in selecting companies for our startup companies portfolio.
    2. ] We may also track these "predictors" to see how accurate they turn out to be with their predictions.(for future reference FFR)
  2. ] PLAY  "the startup game"-  for fun & profit
    1. ] see the "how to" section below for details on joining
  3. ] FUN - tracking some of the most interesting startup companies in the world today
    1. ] who will be the next google? how will that companies product(s) change our lives, your life?
  4. ] FUN - discovery
    1. ] the next important / interesting app,  the next must have gadget, gizmo or trinket. The company making it is going to surface here long before you see it in the app store or read about it on theVerge.
  5. ] PROFIT
    1. ] We (sospep) are offering real money ( $ xxx.xx - canadian dollars) - in a winner takes all contest. Pick a team of startup companies to create your portfolio and then compare the performance of your portfolio to the rest of the players in the startup game.
    2. ] pssssssssst .... my top 3 tips on how you can win this game!!

[WHERE]

  1. ] READ THE FULL ARTICLE 
    1. ] http://avc.com/2015/01/what-is-going-to-happen/

[WHEN]

  1. ] 2015-01-01

[EXAMPLE]

  1. [CAPITAL] IPO
    1. ] Uber, Airbnb, Dropbox, etc, will start going public. Investors will be glad to scoop up some of their shares. That will lead, in turn, to a wave of acquisitions by these newly minted goldmines.
  2. [MOBILE] Xiaomi to the USA
    1. ] This will bring a strong player in the non-google android sector into the US market and legitimize a “third mobile OS” in the western world. The good news for developers is developing for non-google android is not much different than developing for google android.
  3. [MESSAGING] competition
    1. ] More asian penetration into the US market will come from the messenger sector as both Line and WeChat make strong moves to gain a share of the lucrative US messenger market
  4. [VR] hype
    1. ] Facebook acquisition of Oculus Rift, virtual reality will hit some headwinds. Oculus will struggle to ship their consumer version and competitive products will underwhelm. The virtual reality will eventually catch up to the virtual hype, but not in 2015.
  5. [WEARABLES] hype
    1. ] reality will not live up to the hype. The Apple Watch will not be the homerun product that iPod, iPhone, and iPad have been. Not everyone will want to wear a computer on their wrist. Eventually, this market will be realized as the personal mesh/personal cloud, but the focus on wearables will be a bit of a headfake and take up a lot of time, energy, and money in 2015 with not a lot of results.
  6. [MARKETPLACE] Capital
    1. ] Capital markets will be a mixed bag in 2015. Big tech names will continue to access capital easily (see 1/),
    2. ] but the combination of rising rates and depressed prices for oil will bring great stress to global capital markets and there will be a noticeable flight to safety around the world.
    3. ] Safety used to mean gold, US treasuries, and blue chip stocks. Now it means Google, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook.
  7. [] politics
    1. ] The Republicans and Democrats will start jockeying for position in silicon valley for the next presidential election and tech issues will loom large.
    2. ] Republicans will put forward their own answers on immigration and net neutrality (Title X) and the White House will meet them halfway.
    3. ] Both sides will claim victory, but the real winners will be the people.
  8. [BITCOIN] wakeup call 
    1. ] The horrible year that bitcoin had in 2014 will be a wakeup call for all stakeholders. Developers will turn their energy from creating the next bitcoin (all the alt stuff) to creating the stack on top of the bitcoin blockchain. Real decentralized applications will start to emerge as the platform matures and entrepreneurial energy is channeled in the right direction.
  9. [SaaS-ent] enterprise
    1. ] the "new enterprise"/saas sector will shine in 2015 with dozens of emerging important new companies taking advantage of the cloud and mobile to redefine what work and workflow looks like in the enterprise.
  10. [Security] cybersecurity
    1. ] cybersecurity budgets will explode in 2015 as every company, institution, and government attempts to avoid being Sony’d.
    2. ] VCs will pour money into this sector in the same way they poured money into the rental economy. and, yet, the hacks will continue because on the open internet there is no such thing as an impenetrable system.
  11. [Healthcare] patient centric
    1. ] the health care sector will start to feel the pressure of real patient centered healthcare brought on by the trifecta of the smartphone becoming the EMR, patients treating patients (p2p medicine), and real market economies entering health care (people paying for their own healthcare). this is a megatrend that will take decades to fully play out but we will see the start of it in 2015.

[HOW-TO]

  1. ] REGISTER for sospep
    1. ] don't worry, we won't spam you, we don't track you and we won't sell your info, not now, not ever. sospep comes with lots of perks, but you don't have to use them if you don't want too. ps its free to join!
  2. ] SELECT your "team" of startup companies
    1. ] i know, I know, that sounds like it could be a hassle, decisions to make, time consuming, but i'm going to let you in on a little secret that can have your team up and running in < 5 minutes.
  3. ] CHECK your status
    1. ] heres the catch!, you knew it was coming didnt you? you've got to check your status at least once a month. Don't worry, we will send you an email to remind you and we will make it quick and easy (< 1 min) to check in.
  4. ] ADD new companies
    1. ] So you've found that 1 hot new product or exciting new startup company that you thing is going to be the next big thing, but it's NOT on our list of startup companies. No worries it's quick and easy to add any new startup company, that you want too.   
  5. ] UPDATE company valuations
    1. ] When the value of a startup company changes, either they raise more capital or they are bought/sold/dissolved then their valuation will change for the purpose of our game. We will setup some simple rules to determine values, because its not quite as cut and dried as it is with determing values set in a public market.

[REFERENCE]

  1. ] Predictions-2015 -  a new sospep project. I am creating a portfolio of startup companies (you can too). The goal is to discover the next uber, before it becomes the next uber.
    1. ] includes A compiled listing of VC predictions for 2015.

 

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ID: 4159

NAME: 2015-what-is-going-to-happen

DESCRIPTION: what is going to happen in 2015 - ] by Fred Wilson, @avc.com - Wilson looks ahead to spot/forecast the upcoming trends in the tech industry

AUTHOR: article.author/s

EDITOR: article.editor/s

PUBLISHER: article.publisher/s

STATUS: Write

PRIORITY: -5

OWNER ID: 75

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