task

Race# 7 - Texas

[previously]

  1. [REFERENCE]
    1. ] http://fantasygames.nascar.com/live/entries 
    2. ] http://mrn.com/ 
    3. ] http://www.driveraverages.com/
    4. ] prj-4800-pass
    5. ] prj-4800-pass-data
  2. [2015-04-11][08:00] NEW task
    1. x] # # - UPDATE spreadsheet "nascar-2015" with results-qualifying
      1. ] race id = 32
      2. ] http://sports.yahoo.com/nascar/sprint/races/28/qualify  
    2. ] # # - UPDATE spreadsheet with RESULTS-historic (mrn)
    3. ] # # - UPDATE spreadsheet with results-last-practice (mrn)
  3. [2015-04-11][00:00] NEW task
    1. x] SELECTIONS based on results-of =
      1. x] +3's=(48,5,31)
      2. x] +2's=(11,42,4,22,41,1)
      3. x] +1's=(16,20,15,14,2,27,13,21,88,7)
    2. x] NASCAR'S PROJECTED best picks
      1. ] (4,22,14,21,55)
    3. x] DONS PROJECTED
      1. ] (48,5,31,17,13 )
  4. [2015-04-11] RESULTS get scores from last week -
    1. x] nascar - overall:53852(-) 
      1. x] league:864/3114, martinsville:191.5 total: 1327-1135.5  percentile:80.89 ( DOWN )
    2. x] sospep - overall:29717(+)
      1. x] league:526/3796, martinsville:335.0 total: 1507.5-1172.5 percentile:89.45 (UP )
    3. x] dyno don - overall:93268(+)
      1. x] league:367/718, martinsville:270 total: 1007.5-737.5 percentile:66.90 (UP )
    4. x] +DonSagrott -  overall:76055(+)
      1. x] league:282/825, martinsville:209.5  total: 1140-930.5 percentile:73.01 (UP)
  5. [2015-04-11][11:30] SELECTIONS - MARTINSVILLE - including bonus picks - remove/replace drivers not racing
    1. TEAM: nascar - (4, 41, 48, 10, 55 ) bonus: 41 + chevy
      1. ] REVISIONS: 47 out 10 in, 31 out 48 in
      2. ] STRATEGY 1: 3*+3, best whats left 
      3. ] NOTE: thinking = drop 47 take 10
    2. TEAM: sospep -(4, 5, 7, 13, 48 ) bonus: 5 + chevy
      1. ] REVISIONS: 11 out 5 in, 47 out 13 in, 32 out 7 in
      2. ] STRATEGY 1: 3*+3, best whats left ( 7 )
      3. ] NOTE: thinking = drop 47 upgrade 41 - 48, take 13,17, 7
    3. TEAM: dyno - ( 5, 13, 17, 31, 48 ) bonus: 48 + chevy
      1. ] REVISIONS: 4 out 48 in, 41(+1.00) out 17 in, 78(+1.00) out 5 in, 98 out
      2. ] STRATEGY 1: 3*+3, best whats left (PROJECTED PICKS TEAM)
      3. ] NOTE:
    4. TEAM: +DonSagrott (31, 27, 42, 41, 55) bonus: 4+ chevy
      1. ] REVISIONS: 20 out 42 in, 19 out 27 in,  
      2. ] STRATEGY : 4*2 -ended with 1*+3,2*+2,1*+1
      3. ] NOTE:

[currently]

  1. ] RESULTS [TEXAS] =  unofficial
    1. x] t1=1327-1135.5=191.5 r=864, p=80.89, roa=53852 DOWN
    2. *] THIS WEEK - projections quite different, looking at ] laps led, ] fastest laps,
  2. ] PROJECTED - Don VS NASCAR @texas
    1. ] DONS PROJECTED -   5, 13, 17, 31, 48  = 35+10+36+27+114 = 222.0
    2. ] DONS PROJECTED -   5, 13, 17, 31, 48  =  54 +10.5 + 41 + 27 + 136.5 =  269.0
    3. ] NASCAR PROJECTED - 4,22,14,21,55) = 90+51.5+24+-27+22 = 160.5
    4. ] NASCAR PROJECTED - 4,22,14,21,55) =  117 + 8 + (-26.5) + 58.5 + 22 = 179.0
  3. ] OVERALL
    1. ] 2/4 teams down, t1, strategy 3*3 +
    2. ] leader 1568. pt /avg 375 race, my best team avg 250 race
    3. ] review strategy of my best team, my best score
    4. *] this can happen
    5. *] rank league down, rank overall up
    6. *] position down, percentile up

 

 

PREDICTIONS - RACE# 7 - TEXAS - NASCAR VS Don

in the NASCAR.com fantasy racing league +NASCAR has projected the best picks in today's race will be (4 Harvick, 14 Stewart, 21 Blaney, 22 Logano,  55 Moffitt )
 
Don's PASS driver ranking system has projected the best picks for today's race will be (5 Kahne, 13, Mears, 17 Stenhouse, 31 Newman, 48 Johnson)


Nice to see there is a good bit of divergence between our ranking systems this week

I have to admit that  ...

1]  NOT picking # 4 almost feels sacriligous after the start to the season that he has had thus far
2]  AND i am a little nervous about picking #48

But thats what the numbers tell me!

Who you got?

#NASCAR #fantasyRacing #Texas #DuckCommander500

 

*RESULTS  - RACE# 7 - TEXAS - NASCAR VS Don*

NASCAR's "projected BEST PICKS" scored {179.0} points Saturday night at+Texas Motor Speedway 

Don's "projected BEST PICKS" scored {279.0} points

Score one for {DON} this week, that's 3 out of the last 4 weeks for my 'system' has surPASSed NASCARs

+Jimmie Johnson came through for us in a big way, after last weeks, ummmm, disappointment at +Martinsville Speedway 

Over the last 4 races *MY PROJECTED - BEST PICKS* are averaging {278} points per race, while *NASCARs PROJECTED - BEST PICKS* are averaging {248} points per race. The current *NASCAR fantasy points leader* is averaging {356} points per week.

REMEMBER that both(NASCAR and Dons) Projected Best Picks RESULTS do NOT include BONUS POINTS which can be up to 40 points per race while the leaders points results do include those.  We have had the race winner in our picks in the 3 of the last 4 races, which is worth 40 bonus points per race.

... It looks like MY PASS driver rating system still has a way to go ... but it may be getting closer than we think :)

EDIT 04-19 Adjusted points total for last week with official results

 

 

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ID: 5033

NAME: race-7-texas

DESCRIPTION: ] selections ] martinsville results ] standings

START DATE TIME: 2015-04-11 09:45:00

EST DURATION: 01:00:00

END DATE TIME: 2015-04-11 10:45:00

STATUS: To-Do

PRIORITY: -5

OWNER ID: 75

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